Astar          Thoroughbreds
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Astar Thoroughbreds, LLC Breeding News

Astar Thoroughbreds is not only one of the leading
racehorse owners in Minnesota over the last decade but
they also are one of the few racing owners who, breed,
board and own their own stallion. Their study of pedigree
and breeding theories compelled them to initiate a
breeding program a few years ago. They built a
broodmare band, acquired a the multiple triple digit
speed rated stakes winning stallion
Stormy Business
and began racing and selling the horses they bred.

Even though most of these youngsters are just beginning
their racing careers, and are just now old enough to start
running, they have seen multiple personally bred winners
over the last two years. They are just as happy to see
them win for other fine Minnesota owners as they are to
see them winning under their own red and black silks.

Stormy Business has annually ranked in the top ten state
stallions, based upon number of mares bred in
Minnesota, ever since he was brought here from
Nebraska. Nevertheless, crops are small in Minnesota yet
Stormy's foals began winning races as two year olds in
2011, and the only runner he has had running early in
2012 recently came in 2nd at The Fairgrounds. (One of
the few Minnesota bred horses competing at the much
more competitive non-Minnesota tracks across the
country.)

After selling 7 future runners to other Minnesota owners
last year during the Minnesota Thoroughbred
Association sale and privately, Astar Thoroughbreds is
very excited to finally see a representative crop of our
personally bred horses run this year in Minnesota and
beyond.
Did You Know?

As a small boy, Dave Astar used to bet races in Chicago,
through his father and friends. There was always one
constant in betting horses. It seemed, year after year that
favorites won 1 out of every 3 races.

With that knowledge he wasted many a day developing
progressive betting systems knowing that the 33%
favorite winning percentage would always come around.
However, things seem to have changed.

When reviewing track win percentages, it seems that
favorites are winning more often than they once did.
Looking at  Canterbury Park charts, Canterbury must
have one of the highest rated favorite winning
percentages in the country.

Over 40% of the favorites at Canterbury win!

Many people refuse to bet favorites. In truth, they should
not consider the issue of betting favorites or not. They
need to develop logic so they know which favorites to bet.

In other words, if a horse has a 50% probability of
winning a race, and it's a 2 to 1 favorite, it's a great bet. If
you understand probabilities it's a 100% overlay. In fact,
it's a much better bet than some horse where a bettor
intuitively "likes the odds" and bets a 10 to 1 shot even
though it only has a 10% chance of winning.

With the shift in winning favorite percentages, and over
40% of favorites winning at Canterbury, bettors who
refuse to bet favorites are likely winning on some
occasions but often leave the track with a hang dog face.
Good bettors who can reasonably predict probabilities,
simply have to bet certain favorites to win over an
extended period of time.

Then again, many people just bet on their neighbor's
horses. Oh well.
Stormy Business has his
First Winner in 2011!!!

After 3 years of stallion ownership,
the first Stormy Business sired
racehorse won at Canterbury in her
first race. Stormy Tara, a nice 2 year
old, ran by the field winning easily.

With only two races run at
Canterbury by Stormy Business sired
two year olds, he was 1 for 2. Wow!
How Do You Buy a Young Horse????

Are you tired of attending yearling sales with catalog pedigree pages that go
to the 4th dam and still can't fill the white space? Do you find young horse sires
whose success on the track, or in breeding, is ancient history? Do you talk to
breeders who understand little about nicking, inbreeding or possess the breeding
knowledge required to improve foal success probabilities? Do you really like
inspecting young horses out of mares that never achieved any real success on the race
track, or in the breeding shed?

If you are like smart Minnesota owners and understand the economics of Minnesota
racing, you are only interested in the best Minnesota bred horses, and know how fast
both the mare and sire of a foal actually ran on a racetrack. You look at the top speed
ratings of both parents, or offspring of both parents if that data is available,  and
compare those to other available horses. You also want a pedigree and a nick that can
compete anywhere, not just in Minnesota. You want a yearling to have a sire that won
stakes races, had the heart to always be competitive and actually ran multiple triple
digit Beyer speed ratings in this century. You want the foal to have a dam that raced
and won, may have produced a winning foal and has a pedigree that includes a sire of
some repute.

If you are a smart buyer,  you ignore young horses in Minnesota that do not have most
if not all of the mentioned criteria. Then you, your trainer and or your advisors look at
the young horses that meet your criteria to assure that conformation is adequate, or in
some cases excellent. You then let others buy the young horses that don't meet your
criteria for high success probabilities on the racetrack.

The Astar Thoroughbreds breeding operation is at the Osborne Farm in Cambridge
Minnesota. Joyce Osborne is always available to discuss the available Astar
Thoroughbred horses that remain available for sale. Those who visit their farm will
not only see Stormy Business, but also Late Edition and Joey Franco, the Osborne's
new GRADED STAKES WINNING STALLION they just recruited from Canada to
stand in Minnesota. This is an unique opportunity to actually see both the stallions and
mares that produce fine 2 year olds, yearlings and weanlings.

Feel free to contact Rick or Joyce Osborne to schedule a visit.

(Osborne's Number: 763-689-3661)